
NEMO
Disco 15 Series
Spacious for side sleepers; bulky, temp rating optimistic.
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I rarely see bags rated by the actual extreme survival rating. Bags that use that level of inflation rarely bother with the testing. Most bags seem to be rated somewhere near the Lower Limit Temp, which is kind of the comfort rating for warm sleepers. REI's product page seems to have this one rated between the Comfort Temp of 25 and the Lower Limit Temp of 13.
In personal experience, I find quality down bags to be fairly accurate. The radiant looks like its comfort rating is 25 though and if you are near the rating it can be down to personal vatiations, how well you fit in the bag, and how well you sealed up the hood. You can always add a warm hat and a layer of clothing like long underwear to stretch that rating a few degrees.
I think your comment “I felt like there was some drafting coming in the face making my torso and arms a little cooler. Legs and feet were toasty.” May be a clue. The REI Radiant bag does come with a draft collar. Make sure it is positioned correctly and that the hood is tight around your face producing a good seal. You need to make sure you keep out the drafts. This may be why your upper body is cold while your lower body is warm. Otherwise a heavy sweater and hat might be all you need to compensate for the chill in your upper body. Good Luck and enjoy this season!
R value should be ok, but the bag is probably at its comfort limit for your sleeping then. Seems like you sleep cold, you can also focus on what else you wear while inside. How many grams of 600g? You can also try redistributing your down if your legs were warm maybe it’s all gone south leaving your torso uninsulated.
I think your thought process is great. As a greenvest, my advice is always to use what you’ve got, then upgrade when you feel comfortable doing so. To your other concerns: Weight/packed size — Go to REI and ask to put them both in a compression sack. That’ll give you a good sense of that compressed volume and weight in the hand. Water resistance - Down and outer fabrics have come a long way since the old days, so they hold up to condensation and a little rain pretty well. You don’t want to dunk a down bag in a lake, but you also wouldn’t want to do that with a synthetic. It’d be a cold, uncomfortable night either way. Couple other thoughts: - The Radiant is comfort-rated to 25F, the Trailmade to 31F. So not only is the Radiant one pound lighter, it’s a fair bit warmer. - Down will last longer than synthetic — a lot longer if you take proper care of it. We’re talking decades. Synthetics tend to degrade over time, shed microplastics and lose their temp rating. They also get stinkier.
The detail on that bag's product page states that the ISO tested *comfort* temperature is 25 F. So, they've decided to call it a 20 degree bag based on something else than lab test results.
The bag seems to be ISO tested for a comfort rating of 25F. Since that's just 7 degrees away from the conditions you slept at, I wouldn't call it completely surprising, while it is true most people will feel comfy at the comfort temp. Things to do is make sure you're wearing either Merino wool or a technical base layer, then add something like a fleece jacket. A beanie, tube scarf, loose-fitting wool socks and wool gloves are also a part of a solid sleep setup.
You don't need to upgrade since you have a serviceable bag for 30\* temperatures that you don't hate, but in my opinion it would still be really worth it to get the Radiant. The trail made works and is effective safety equipment, but you start getting a nice bag at the radiant level. It's still a "backpacking mummy" shape, but it's the roomiest cut we have in that category. The material is better and feels much nicer on your skin. It's more than a few degrees warmer, and the 600 fp down will last for ages with basic maintenance. The down is treated to be hydrophobic (pretty much all down these days is) so it isn't easy to saturate unless you fall in a river and don't bother getting out for a couple minutes. The face hole-lining and the top of the footbox incorporate synthetic insulation just in case since those are frequent moisture areas. It packs up smaller and is about a pound lighter. It's a compelling buy at $200 and IMO a no-brainer at $140. You don't get perfection in a $200 bag - tbh I still like my roomier Nemo bags better. But the Radiant is fantastic and you would notice a serious difference from the trail made. If you have the cash and think a warmer, more comfortable bag would help you sleep better while you're trying out new things, I would definitely recommend it.

NEMO
Disco 15 Series
Spacious for side sleepers; bulky, temp rating optimistic.
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NEMO
Disco 30
Spoon shape for side sleepers; prone to zipper issues.

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VersaLite
Durable, very warm; premium price, too hot in summer.

Katabatic Gear
Alsek 22°F Quilt
Versatile 3-season quilt; secure pad attachment, high price.

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